Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001613 0.001786 0.001960 0.002147 0.002342 0.002540 0.002754
2025-02-16 0.001325 0.001591 0.001868 0.002176 0.002506 0.002847 0.003226
2025-02-23 0.000991 0.001316 0.001668 0.002071 0.002517 0.002988 0.003522
2025-03-02 0.000738 0.001100 0.001511 0.001999 0.002551 0.003149 0.003837
2025-03-09 0.000550 0.000935 0.001395 0.001959 0.002614 0.003335 0.004178
2025-03-16 0.000409 0.000807 0.001308 0.001942 0.002695 0.003539 0.004535
2025-03-23 0.000327 0.000743 0.001290 0.002002 0.002862 0.003836 0.004998
2025-03-30 0.000245 0.000664 0.001245 0.002022 0.002977 0.004072 0.005389
2025-04-06 0.000180 0.000596 0.001207 0.002046 0.003094 0.004307 0.005777
2025-04-13 0.000131 0.000541 0.001179 0.002078 0.003217 0.004548 0.006170
2025-04-20 0.000076 0.000456 0.001100 0.002038 0.003248 0.004677 0.006431
2025-04-27 0.000038 0.000386 0.001034 0.002009 0.003288 0.004813 0.006699
2025-05-04 0.000020 0.000358 0.001038 0.002087 0.003479 0.005150 0.007225
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000320 0.001025 0.002142 0.003643 0.005460 0.007727
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000234 0.000916 0.002056 0.003625 0.005549 0.007970
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000168 0.000829 0.001995 0.003637 0.005673 0.008255
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000122 0.000765 0.001963 0.003683 0.005839 0.008590
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000088 0.000717 0.001952 0.003755 0.006036 0.008960
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000075 0.000718 0.002016 0.003929 0.006359 0.009483
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000056 0.000694 0.002038 0.004044 0.006608 0.009917
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000041 0.000674 0.002063 0.004163 0.006860 0.010354
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000029 0.000660 0.002097 0.004292 0.007126 0.010805
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000013 0.000606 0.002057 0.004316 0.007256 0.011091